Preparing for a New Political Landscape: What to Expect for Taxes and the Economy in 2025 Under a Trump Presidency

With the possibility of Donald Trump returning to the presidency, many wonder how his administration’s policies could impact taxes, the economy, and business in 2025 and beyond. Known for focusing on tax cuts, deregulation, and economic growth initiatives during his previous term, a Trump administration may once again implement policies aimed at lowering taxes, supporting small businesses, and fostering a robust investment climate. Here’s what individuals and businesses can consider as they prepare for potential shifts in federal priorities.

1. Potential Tax Policy Adjustments Under a Trump Presidency

Donald Trump’s first term featured the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017, which significantly lowered tax rates across income levels, simplified tax brackets, and provided tax relief for corporations. A new Trump administration might look to build upon or reintroduce similar tax policies. Here’s what taxpayers should consider:

Income Tax Cuts and Rate Simplification

If Trump were to reintroduce policies similar to the TCJA, taxpayers might expect lower income tax rates and simplified tax brackets. Reductions in individual income tax rates would provide more disposable income for households, potentially stimulating consumer spending. Taxpayers may want to plan around income timing, deferring or accelerating income as needed to take advantage of potentially lower rates in 2025.

Corporate Tax Rate Reductions

Trump’s previous tax plan reduced the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%, aiming to spur investment and job creation. Should he pursue similar cuts again, this could allow businesses more cash flow to reinvest in hiring, expansion, and infrastructure. Corporations might benefit from preparing long-term investment plans that could align with anticipated savings in tax liabilities, thus bolstering their operational and growth capacity.

Capital Gains Tax Relief

A Trump administration could emphasize reduced taxes on capital gains, as a means to encourage investment in real estate, stocks, and other long-term assets. Investors and small business owners may want to monitor any changes that would affect their tax exposure on gains, potentially timing asset sales to benefit from lower capital gains rates. This could be especially beneficial for individuals with significant investments or those considering large real estate transactions.

2. Economic Growth and Investment Incentives

A Trump administration is likely to focus on policies designed to encourage U.S. economic growth, incentivize investment, and create jobs domestically. Here’s how individuals and businesses might prepare for a Trump-era economic environment:

Infrastructure Development and Job Creation

During his first term, Trump proposed major infrastructure spending, though it did not come to full fruition. In 2025, we could see renewed interest in infrastructure, potentially creating job growth and investment opportunities for businesses in construction, manufacturing, and technology. Small businesses in these sectors could position themselves to capitalize on this demand by building relationships with government contractors or expanding their operations to meet potential infrastructure project needs.

Energy Production and Resource Development

Trump has historically championed U.S. energy independence, favoring oil, gas, and other energy resources. Policies supporting expanded energy production may offer incentives for energy companies, including tax credits or reduced regulatory barriers. This focus could benefit energy producers, equipment manufacturers, and workers in these fields. Homeowners and small businesses could also see tax breaks on energy-efficient upgrades, enabling them to cut utility costs while benefiting from incentives.

Support for U.S. Manufacturing and Technological Investment

Emphasis on “Made in America” was a key part of Trump’s first term. A similar focus in 2025 could mean tax credits, subsidies, and grants designed to boost domestic production and technological innovation. Small businesses and startups in manufacturing or technology fields could find expanded access to funding and favorable tax treatments, allowing them to scale operations more affordably. Entrepreneurs should monitor announcements for incentives or grants aimed at encouraging U.S.-based production and technological growth.

3. Support for Small Business and Entrepreneurship

During his first term, Trump’s administration prioritized a business-friendly regulatory environment and expanded access to capital for small businesses. Business owners may want to anticipate policies that support entrepreneurship and growth, potentially benefiting from lower tax rates, relaxed regulations, and financial incentives:

Enhanced Tax Credits and Deductions for Small Businesses

Trump’s previous tax reforms included measures that allowed small businesses to benefit from deductions on investments in equipment, real estate, and technology. If similar tax provisions are implemented, small business owners could have new opportunities to deduct these expenses, reducing tax liability while reinvesting in growth. Planning capital investments to align with potential credits or deductions could maximize financial benefits under these policies.

Reduced Regulatory Burdens

Trump’s focus on deregulation reduced compliance costs for many small businesses, particularly in sectors like labor and environmental compliance. A renewed focus on cutting regulations may continue to ease the operational load on small businesses, streamlining processes and reducing the need for extensive legal oversight. Business owners might benefit from staying up-to-date on regulatory changes that could simplify operations, making expansion or hiring more feasible.

Expanded Funding and SBA Loan Access

Trump’s administration supported funding for small businesses through SBA loans and grants. If similar policies return, entrepreneurs and small business owners could find additional funding sources to support expansion or new projects. Preparing business plans or financial projections can ensure that business owners are well-positioned to take advantage of these opportunities, particularly if new incentives are introduced to fuel economic growth and job creation.

4. Idaho-Specific Adjustments in a Pro-Growth Environment

A Trump presidency focused on pro-growth, business-friendly policies could impact Idaho residents and businesses, particularly in industries key to Idaho’s economy, such as agriculture, technology, and energy. Here’s how Idahoans might see state-level changes:

Tax Incentives for Agriculture and Energy

Idaho’s agricultural and energy sectors may benefit from federal policies supporting domestic production and sustainable practices. For example, farmers, ranchers, and energy producers could see expanded tax incentives for sustainable practices, modernization, or renewable energy efforts. Idaho’s business owners may consider taking advantage of these incentives to reduce operational costs and increase productivity, particularly if their industry aligns with these federal priorities.

Property and Sales Tax Adjustments for Businesses

Idaho property and sales tax policies may see state-specific adjustments in response to federal priorities, particularly if a Trump administration favors a reduction in corporate taxes and compliance costs. For small businesses in Idaho, this could translate to more manageable property tax rates, potentially boosting profitability and enabling expansions.

Boosts to Tech and Manufacturing Through State Grants and Credits

Trump’s emphasis on U.S.-based manufacturing and technology investment could lead to incentives that Idaho’s tech startups and manufacturers can tap into. Idaho may align its economic priorities to support these initiatives, providing local grants, subsidies, or tax breaks to further incentivize growth in these sectors. Idaho business owners in tech or manufacturing might consider preparing for potential grant applications, partnerships, or expansion efforts.

5. Long-Term Financial and Tax Planning for Individuals and Families

Under a Trump administration, families and individuals could anticipate tax savings opportunities that allow them to plan for long-term financial goals. Here are some strategies to consider in 2025:

Maximizing Retirement Contributions and Tax-Deferred Accounts

Lower tax rates on income and potential adjustments to retirement accounts could make tax-deferred accounts like 401(k)s more advantageous. A Trump administration may emphasize maintaining low tax rates, allowing families to save more effectively. Contributing the maximum to tax-deferred accounts or even considering Roth conversions (if rates remain low) may be beneficial for taxpayers looking to minimize taxes on retirement savings.

Education Savings Plans and Family Tax Benefits

Trump’s administration previously focused on supporting families through increased child tax credits and benefits for education savings. Idaho families saving for college or other educational expenses might consider maximizing contributions to state-sponsored 529 plans, benefiting from state tax deductions and any expanded family credits. Keeping an eye on any family-friendly tax provisions that arise can help taxpayers plan ahead for educational and childcare expenses.

Estate Planning and Charitable Giving

Estate planning may also see favorable treatment if estate tax thresholds are adjusted upward, aligning with Trump’s prior pro-business stance. For families with significant wealth or business assets, taking advantage of higher estate tax exemption limits can be essential for generational planning. Charitable giving strategies, like donor-advised funds, may also see tax benefits, enabling taxpayers to maximize contributions while managing taxable income.

Planning Ahead for Potential Trump-Era Tax Changes

While specifics remain to be seen, preparing for a tax and business environment that echoes Trump’s previous policies can help both individuals and business owners make proactive decisions. Working with a qualified tax advisor is a valuable step in optimizing financial strategies, ensuring that tax decisions align with your long-term goals and potential changes.

From retirement contributions and business investments to regulatory planning and charitable giving, preparing early will help Idaho residents and business owners stay ahead and make the most of any opportunities that may come under a Trump administration.

 

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Ilir Nina CPA, EA, MSAT

The Owner Ilir Nina is an experienced CPA and Enrolled Agent. He also obtained a Master’s of science of accountancy and taxation at Boise State in 2009. He has two undergraduate degrees (accountancy & information systems). He has prepared taxes in Boise area for over 15 years and also has many years in tax resolution.

Over the years he has prepared tons of Individual, business and nonprofit returns. He also has represented many clients successfully in front of the IRS. Has filed many successful offers in compromise and helped clients by settling IRS liabilities for less (literally pennies on the dollar). Ilir is honest and he will tell you the truth. He will fight for you hard and solve all your tax wows. He is a trusted Idaho CPA. We encourage you to call and talk to us and let’s see what Ilir can do for you.

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